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Analysts such as Max Layton of Citigroup predicted in the global commodity outlook in 2025 that there would be a "substantial oversupply" of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2025. The average price of Brent crude oil may be $60/barrel in 2025, and it may be the same level in 2026.According to pro-Syrian opposition media reports on the 9th, the opposition pardons all soldiers who perform compulsory military service in government forces and prohibits anyone from infringing their rights and interests. (Xinhua News Agency)The political turmoil in South Korea continued. Yin Xiyue was restricted from leaving the country. The opposition party pushed the impeachment case and the special inspection law. Due to the emergency martial law issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue on the 3 rd of this month, the political situation in South Korea has recently fallen into continuous turmoil. South Korea's largest opposition party, the Common Democratic Party, submitted the "12.3 Yin Xiyue Civil Disturbance Special Inspection Law" to the National Assembly on the 9 th to investigate whether there were unconstitutional and illegal acts during President Yin Xiyue's declaration of emergency martial law. In addition, South Korea's Ministry of Justice also took measures to ban Yin Xiyue from leaving the country today, which is the first time that South Korea has taken measures to ban the current president from leaving the country. According to Yonhap News Agency, the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, submitted the "12.3 Yin Xiyue's Civil Disturbance Special Inspection Law" to the National Assembly on the 9th to investigate whether President Yin Xiyue violated the constitution or not during the process of declaring emergency martial law. At the same time, the Common Democratic Party also requested to deal with the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". Previously, the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law" was passed at the plenary session of the National Assembly three times, and was rejected by Yin Xiyue's veto power. On the afternoon of the 7th, South Korea's National Assembly voted again on the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law", but more than two-thirds of the votes required were not passed. The Common Democratic Party plans to push for a vote on the "Jinjianheit Inspection Law" and the "Civil Disturbance Special Inspection Law" at the plenary session of the National Assembly on the 12th and 14th, respectively. (CCTV)

The Permanent Representative of Switzerland to Geneva was elected as the new President of the UN Human Rights Council. On December 9, local time, the UN Human Rights Council announced that Jürg Lauber, the Permanent Representative of Switzerland to the United Nations in Geneva, would take over the post of President of the UN Human Rights Council for one year from January 2025. (CCTV)French President's Office: French President Mark Long will convene all political parties willing to compromise to form a government on Tuesday.Governor of the Turkish Central Bank: The prudent monetary policy stance of the Turkish Central Bank has had a positive impact on foreign exchange reserves, and the anti-inflation process continues.

The US Treasury auctioned three-month treasury bonds, and the winning interest rate was 4.300% (4.400% reported on December 2), and the bid multiple was 2.89 (2.89 in the previous time). Auction of six-month treasury bonds, the winning interest rate is 4.200% (reported on December 2, 4.305%), and the bid multiple is 2.90 (the previous one was 3.02).The wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded slightly in October, and the wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded moderately in October due to the slight increase in durable goods inventory. According to published data, wholesale inventories increased by 0.2% in October. As enterprises hoard goods for fear of tariff increase, inventories may increase in the coming months. In terms of breakdown, the inventory of durable goods increased slightly by 0.1%, boosted by the inventory of furniture, professional equipment and wood wholesalers. However, automobile inventory decreased by 0.1% and electrical inventory decreased by 1.0%. The inventory of non-durable goods increased by 0.3%, and the inventory of groceries and medicines increased strongly. Wholesale sales decreased by 0.1% in October after increasing by 0.5% in September. According to the sales speed in October, it may take wholesalers 1.34 months to clear the shelves, which is the same as that in September.The bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts have increased substantially, driven by Morgan Stanley's blessing. With Morgan Stanley's blessing, the scale of bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts in December and January has increased significantly. The number of January and February contracts held by traders soared on Friday. Morgan Stanley strategists suggested buying the February contract in a report. "We believe that investors should prepare for the increase in the implied probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the FOMC meeting on January 29th," the strategist led by Matthew Hornbach said in a report. Suggested methods for this layout include buying February federal funds contracts and receiving overnight index swap rates corresponding to the January meeting, they wrote.